Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000090 0.000095 0.000100 0.000105 0.000111 0.000117
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000087 0.000093 0.000101 0.000110 0.000120 0.000131
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000082 0.000090 0.000100 0.000111 0.000125 0.000142
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000078 0.000087 0.000099 0.000112 0.000129 0.000150
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000076 0.000086 0.000099 0.000115 0.000135 0.000162
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000075 0.000086 0.000100 0.000119 0.000142 0.000176
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000072 0.000083 0.000098 0.000118 0.000144 0.000183
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000069 0.000080 0.000095 0.000116 0.000144 0.000186
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000066 0.000078 0.000093 0.000115 0.000144 0.000190
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000063 0.000074 0.000090 0.000111 0.000141 0.000188
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000062 0.000074 0.000090 0.000113 0.000146 0.000200
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000062 0.000074 0.000091 0.000116 0.000152 0.000214
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000060 0.000073 0.000090 0.000116 0.000155 0.000223
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000060 0.000073 0.000092 0.000120 0.000163 0.000243
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000058 0.000071 0.000091 0.000120 0.000166 0.000253
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000057 0.000070 0.000090 0.000119 0.000168 0.000262
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000056 0.000070 0.000090 0.000121 0.000174 0.000280
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000056 0.000070 0.000091 0.000125 0.000182 0.000305
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000054 0.000068 0.000089 0.000124 0.000183 0.000313
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000053 0.000066 0.000087 0.000121 0.000180 0.000312
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000051 0.000064 0.000085 0.000119 0.000179 0.000316
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000049 0.000062 0.000082 0.000115 0.000173 0.000307
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000049 0.000062 0.000082 0.000117 0.000179 0.000328